Economic Analysis: Trimodal Therapy vs Radical Cystectomy Cost-Effectiveness in Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer

TMT was not cost-effective at 5-year (ICER, $464,291 per QALY) or 10-year (ICER, $308,638 per QALY) time horizons despite improved quality of life.

Trimodal therapy (TMT) for muscle-invasive bladder cancer provides modest quality of life benefits but is not cost-effective compared to radical cystectomy due to significantly higher treatment costs ($464,291 per quality-adjusted life year at 5 years). Policy initiatives to reduce TMT costs are needed to improve its value proposition in clinical practice.

Study Design & Population

  • Study Type: Economic evaluation using microsimulation model with 5- and 10-year time horizons
  • Population: Index patient aged 71 years with clinical stage T2-4aN0M0 muscle-invasive bladder cancer
  • Inclusion Criteria: Solitary tumor <7 cm, no/unilateral hydronephrosis, adequate bladder function, lack of multifocal carcinoma in situ
  • Exclusion Criteria: Patients unfit for radical cystectomy, radiation, or cisplatin-based chemotherapy
  • Perspective: Medicare payer perspective, 2021 US dollars

Key Findings

  • 5-Year Costs: TMT $71,014 vs RC $40,489 (difference: $30,525 higher for TMT)
  • 5-Year QALYs: TMT 3.94 vs RC 3.87 (modest quality of life advantage for TMT)
  • Cost-Effectiveness: TMT ICER $464,291 per QALY at 5 years, $308,638 per QALY at 10 years
  • Threshold Analysis: TMT would become cost-effective if costs reduced to <$17,605 or if it provided 11.6% improvement in metastasis-free survival
  • Probabilistic Analysis: RC cost-effective in 87% of simulations at 5 years, 79% at 10 years

Clinical Implications

  • TMT remains a viable option for carefully selected patients who prioritize bladder preservation and quality of life
  • Current TMT costs significantly exceed accepted willingness-to-pay thresholds ($100,000 per QALY)
  • Patient counseling should include detailed discussions of long-term cost-benefit tradeoffs between treatments
  • Healthcare policy interventions needed to address rising costs of bladder cancer care

Limitations

  • Model Assumptions: Based on retrospective data with inherent selection bias
  • Treatment Standardization: Assumes uniform TMT regimens despite real-world practice variation
  • Oncologic Equivalence: Model assumes similar cancer-specific survival between treatments based on limited comparative data
  • Cost Variations: Significant geographic and healthcare system cost differences not fully captured

Source: https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2835469

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